← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.97+1.69vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.98+2.95vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.28+1.17vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego1.45+2.52vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.53+1.21vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.00+5.02vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.73vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii0.87+0.12vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.15-1.72vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.16-2.63vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.07-0.32vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.06-1.21vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.36vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University0.13-3.53vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.93-1.55vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.69University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
-
4.95Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
6.52University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
11.02University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
-
7.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
8.12University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
7.28University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.37Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.64University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.47Western Washington University0.130.0%1st Place
-
13.45University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
-
13.9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 32.8% | 25.1% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.3% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 22.9% | 31.6% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.