← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.98+3.77vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.28+2.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.15+4.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.97-1.22vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego1.45+1.34vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii0.87+2.16vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.51vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.16-0.93vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.53-2.94vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.44vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.07-0.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-0.00-1.29vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.79-0.18vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-0.93-0.89vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-1.31vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia0.06-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.77Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
4.11University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
7.22University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
-
2.78University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
-
6.34University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
8.16University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
10.51University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
7.07Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
6.06University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
7.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
10.49University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
-
10.71University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
-
12.82Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
-
13.11University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
-
13.69University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.61University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.5% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 31.3% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 25.8% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 36.7% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.