← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.16+6.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.15+5.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.28+1.10vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego1.45+2.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.00+5.77vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.97-3.22vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.98-2.11vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.60vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.53-2.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii0.87-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.79+1.78vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.52vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.07-2.47vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia0.06-3.54vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-1.34vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-0.93-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.06Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
7.16University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
-
4.1University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
6.42University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
10.77University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
-
2.78University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
-
4.89Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
7.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
6.06University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
8.18University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
12.78Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.53University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
-
13.66University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
-
13.26University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Hou | 30.8% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 21.9% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 34.8% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.