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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.04vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.97-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87+3.11vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.15+1.30vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.00+2.66vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-2.69vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16-2.78vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.79+1.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.93+1.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.07-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.09-3.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-1.33vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.06-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.84Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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8.11University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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7.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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7.22Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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12.78Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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13.67University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 16.6% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 32.2% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 21.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 28.6% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 22.2% | 34.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.