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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.97+0.74vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.43vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.00+6.81vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.79+7.88vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.98-1.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45-0.63vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.53-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.15-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.87-2.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93+0.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.07-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.06-4.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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2.74University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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7.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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12.88Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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7.06Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 16.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 33.1% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 21.1% | 21.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 25.6% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.