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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+4.40vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.53+0.27vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16+0.39vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.07+0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.00-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.24vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.13-2.44vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.06-3.33vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.93-1.52vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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6.4University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.39Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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10.56Western Washington University0.130.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 32.6% | 25.2% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.9% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Trey Summers | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 5.4% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 23.1% | 31.8% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.