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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.45+5.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+2.94vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.97-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.53+1.22vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87+1.26vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.15-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.00-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.07-1.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93+0.36vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.06-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-1.11vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.13-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.94Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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13.89University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.68Western Washington University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.1% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 31.0% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 23.1% | 29.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 41.9% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.