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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.62vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+3.31vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.16+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.53-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.00+1.82vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.50-1.73vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+0.12vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.13-2.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.07-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.06-4.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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4.79Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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7.13Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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7.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.43Western Washington University0.130.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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13.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 34.0% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.6% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Trey Summers | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Noah Barton | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 6.4% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.