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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.87+6.00vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.00+6.99vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.15+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.43+5.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50+1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28-4.97vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16-2.81vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.13-0.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.42vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-5.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.07-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.06-4.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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8.0University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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4.78Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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7.19Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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10.39Western Washington University0.130.0%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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7.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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13.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 33.5% | 24.3% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Trey Summers | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 8.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 10.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| Noah Barton | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.1% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.