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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+5.91vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+5.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97-0.31vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.00+4.74vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.53-1.00vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43+1.97vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+1.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.07-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.50-4.99vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.79-2.05vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.06-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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2.69University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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4.75Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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10.74University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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9.01University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.95Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Hou | 33.2% | 22.4% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.2% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Trey Summers | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 12.6% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 39.9% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Noah Barton | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 24.7% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.