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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+2.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.36+3.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+4.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+4.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.20+6.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.54+2.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.55-1.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+0.91vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.79-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island-0.23+2.03vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37-1.05vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13-0.29vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.70-4.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University-0.25-1.63vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.65-2.09vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.01-4.71vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.24-6.23vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.53-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Yale University2.2524.5%1st Place
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5.94Boston College1.3610.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.006.5%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.9%1st Place
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11.84Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University0.544.4%1st Place
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5.69Brown University1.5511.8%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University0.624.6%1st Place
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8.07Brown University0.796.2%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island-0.232.8%1st Place
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9.95Boston University0.373.5%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College-0.132.2%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College0.705.4%1st Place
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12.37Tufts University-0.251.9%1st Place
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12.91Bates College-0.651.4%1st Place
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11.29Northeastern University0.012.2%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont0.242.9%1st Place
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13.05McGill University-0.531.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 24.5% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Greta Traver | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.