Race 6A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 44.0% 27.0% 12.8% 7.8% 4.8% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 12.4% 14.4% 17.5% 15.0% 13.0% 10.9% 9.3% 4.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.4% 4.3% 7.1% 5.6% 8.3% 9.8% 11.4% 16.4% 17.5% 16.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.8% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 7.3% 8.6% 10.6% 13.5% 16.2% 30.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 7.1% 8.5% 10.9% 11.1% 12.4% 14.3% 12.5% 10.4% 7.2% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 15.2% 20.8% 17.2% 19.1% 10.0% 8.6% 5.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 5.7% 6.7% 10.2% 12.6% 13.1% 14.4% 13.4% 10.1% 9.1% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.5% 4.5% 7.4% 7.8% 10.0% 9.1% 13.2% 15.9% 14.9% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.9% 5.0% 6.0% 8.5% 11.1% 10.9% 11.5% 14.1% 15.1% 13.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.0% 5.9% 7.1% 7.5% 10.0% 10.5% 12.4% 13.1% 16.1% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.8% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 7.3% 8.6% 10.6% 13.5% 16.2% 30.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.4% 4.3% 7.1% 5.6% 8.3% 9.8% 11.4% 16.4% 17.5% 16.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.