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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.53+3.89vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.00+6.78vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.97-2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.43+4.87vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98-3.37vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.15-1.97vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.60vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.79+1.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.50-2.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.68vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.07-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-1.34vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.06-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.89University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.03Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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2.68University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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7.99University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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7.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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12.79Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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9.08University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 16.6% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 32.0% | 24.4% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 24.2% |
| Noah Barton | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 38.6% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.