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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.35+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.26+2.72vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.73+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.61+2.59vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.61+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.40+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+3.17vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.09+0.51vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.43-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.05vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.31-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.10-4.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.76-1.70vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Hawaii2.350.4%1st Place
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4.72University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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3.67Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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6.59University of Hawaii0.610.0%1st Place
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6.5Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.92Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 36.1% | 26.3% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 17.7% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Knobel | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Emily Smith | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 22.4% | 33.8% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 27.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.