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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+0.62vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.43+4.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+6.60vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.26-0.14vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.61+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.10+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.61-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.40-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+1.64vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.31-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.25-4.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.72-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.55-3.79vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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2.62University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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7.2Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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6.77Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Hawaii0.610.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Washington0.250.0%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 19.1% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 34.5% | 23.9% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Theodore Knobel | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 24.3% | 31.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 20.4% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.