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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+0.59vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.43+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.92+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.26-0.23vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.61+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.40+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.72+2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-0.10-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.01-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-0.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.60-0.32vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.10vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.31-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-3.11-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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2.59University of Hawaii2.350.4%1st Place
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7.02Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Hawaii0.920.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.68University of California at San Diego-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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15.19University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 19.9% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 35.3% | 23.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 6.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 3.5% |
| Megan Saenz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 25.3% | 10.6% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 27.4% | 11.9% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| John Cornet | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 14.4% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.