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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+6.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+1.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.54+5.56vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+2.00vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.37+5.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55-0.29vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.01+4.43vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.53+4.95vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.23+3.18vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College-0.13+1.88vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.20+0.95vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.62-3.32vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.79-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-3.15vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.70-6.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-7.51vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.65-4.18vs Predicted
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18Tufts University-0.25-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.007.0%1st Place
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3.46Yale University2.2525.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University0.545.2%1st Place
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6.0Boston College1.369.2%1st Place
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10.02Boston University0.373.5%1st Place
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5.71Brown University1.5511.9%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University0.012.5%1st Place
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12.95McGill University-0.531.8%1st Place
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12.18University of Rhode Island-0.231.6%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College-0.132.9%1st Place
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11.95Harvard University-0.201.8%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University0.625.2%1st Place
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7.92Brown University0.795.7%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont0.242.3%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College0.704.7%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.0%1st Place
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12.82Bates College-0.652.0%1st Place
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12.15Tufts University-0.252.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Slovensky | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 25.1% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 17.5% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Grace Ivancich | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Greta Shuster | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.6% |
| Greta Traver | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.