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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+1.03vs Predicted
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2Queen's University2.04+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.79+3.36vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.75+1.37vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.34-2.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.42-0.02vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-2.64vs Predicted
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10Colgate University0.89-3.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.90-4.95vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.42-5.02vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.88-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Cornell University3.270.5%1st Place
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3.82Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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6.37Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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3.23Columbia University2.340.2%1st Place
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6.98University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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5.12Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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6.05Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Military Academy0.900.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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8.99Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 46.7% | 26.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 17.6% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lovo | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 64.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.