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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 46.7% 26.4% 12.9% 7.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 12.8% 16.0% 20.8% 15.1% 14.9% 10.2% 4.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.3% 5.1% 6.5% 10.1% 7.4% 12.8% 16.7% 16.8% 15.3% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 2.7% 4.3% 6.0% 10.0% 11.2% 12.8% 16.3% 14.7% 16.7% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 17.6% 23.1% 19.6% 16.5% 12.0% 6.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 3.2% 3.7% 4.3% 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 13.0% 15.8% 22.6% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 5.6% 8.4% 13.0% 13.2% 15.0% 15.8% 12.8% 9.5% 4.9% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.3% 5.1% 6.5% 10.1% 7.4% 12.8% 16.7% 16.8% 15.3% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.6% 6.2% 8.0% 9.2% 11.6% 14.7% 13.9% 14.4% 14.1% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.8% 6.2% 7.8% 8.7% 12.2% 13.6% 15.3% 15.9% 11.7% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 3.2% 3.7% 4.3% 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 13.0% 15.8% 22.6% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 4.4% 7.5% 12.9% 64.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.