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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.40+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.92+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+5.55vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.10+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.72+3.94vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.26-3.22vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.61-2.27vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.43-2.71vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.01-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.60+1.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.67vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.31-4.49vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.35vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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2.63University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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7.34University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Hawaii0.920.1%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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7.29Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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13.19University of California at San Diego-1.600.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 17.6% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 34.0% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 6.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 10.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Megan Saenz | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 31.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 37.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.