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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.92+2.81vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.61+2.85vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.31+4.64vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.09+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.72+3.97vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.26-3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-0.10-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+0.65vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.43-3.75vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.40-4.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.55-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.60-1.67vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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5.81University of Hawaii0.920.1%1st Place
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6.85Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.25Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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11.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.33University of California at San Diego-1.600.0%1st Place
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13.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 17.6% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 34.3% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Emily Smith | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| Morgan Carew | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Megan Saenz | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 19.7% | 33.6% |
| Chris Haugen | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.