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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.62vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.65vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.66+5.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.03vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.40+8.04vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.54-0.76vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.20+2.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+3.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.76vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.59-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43+0.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.50-5.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.93+0.04vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.34vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.80+1.80vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-3.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.39-5.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.07-3.76vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.76-2.70vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.53-4.25vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-3.11vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.24-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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4.65California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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4.65California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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14.04California Poly Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.24San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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7.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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13.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.76University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.94Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.85University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.76University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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20.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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19.8San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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17.24University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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19.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.760.0%1st Place
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18.75Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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20.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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21.13University of California at Davis-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 35.0% | 24.0% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Spector | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Barton | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 15.9% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.