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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.97+0.69vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.66vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+3.92vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.54+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.66+2.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50+2.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.07+7.83vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-0.40+4.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.20-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43+1.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+2.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.93+0.12vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.39-3.06vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.80+1.76vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-6.07vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University0.59-10.34vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.53-1.87vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-1.37vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.24-1.75vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-3.76vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.76-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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4.66California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.27San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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14.06California Poly Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.75University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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11.52University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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14.49University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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16.12University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.94University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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19.76San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.66Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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19.13Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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20.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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21.25University of California at Davis-2.240.0%1st Place
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20.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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19.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 32.2% | 25.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Charles Bedford | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% |
| David Spector | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 25.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.