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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.97+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.22vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.54+2.40vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.66+3.75vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.40+7.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.20+3.76vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.07+7.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+2.76vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.17-1.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.50-3.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+1.34vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-2.31vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University0.59-6.98vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.93-1.22vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.25vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.76+0.14vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.39-6.27vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-1.00vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.35vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.53-4.85vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.24-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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2.76University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.4San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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4.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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14.61California Poly Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.76University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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7.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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17.4University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.84San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.43University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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16.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.02Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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16.78University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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20.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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21.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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19.15Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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21.52University of California at Davis-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 14.1% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 30.8% | 24.9% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Alexander | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| David Spector | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 12.6% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 21.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.