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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.66+8.14vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.66vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+5.00vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.54+2.27vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.29vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.40+7.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.20+4.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.39+5.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43+4.17vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.97-8.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.50-1.69vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.59-3.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+0.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.93+0.02vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-3.50vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.23-4.80vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.72vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+0.70vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.76-1.23vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.13-1.60vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.24-2.05vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-4.03vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.82-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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4.66California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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8.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.27San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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4.71California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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13.95California Poly Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.54University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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13.99University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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2.77University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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10.31University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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9.8Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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15.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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16.02University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.2San Diego State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.28University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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20.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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19.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.760.0%1st Place
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20.4University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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20.95University of California at Davis-2.240.0%1st Place
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19.97University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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22.43Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 12.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 32.1% | 22.9% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| David Spector | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Crager | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.7% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 16.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.8% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.