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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.66+7.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.50+7.18vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.97-1.28vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.40+9.07vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.93vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.54-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+5.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.20+2.20vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-5.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.39+2.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+2.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-1.17vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.23-0.74vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.30-8.16vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.59-6.47vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+3.56vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.33vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-3.33vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-0.93-3.59vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.76-1.31vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.13-1.63vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.97vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.24-3.07vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.82-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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2.72University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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14.07California Poly Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.36San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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13.96University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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13.26San Diego State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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9.53Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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20.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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14.67University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.67University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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16.41University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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19.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.760.0%1st Place
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20.37University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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20.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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20.93University of California at Davis-2.240.0%1st Place
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22.43Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 31.9% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Crager | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 13.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 6.9% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 16.5% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.