Race 8A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Billy Hines 19.3% 21.1% 20.7% 14.9% 9.9% 7.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 12.9% 16.2% 18.3% 18.0% 12.9% 10.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 42.6% 28.4% 16.3% 8.2% 3.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.7% 4.9% 7.3% 9.3% 13.1% 14.9% 14.9% 14.0% 14.0% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 7.2% 10.5% 10.6% 12.1% 15.9% 14.8% 12.4% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 8.5% 10.1% 12.8% 14.9% 22.4% 13.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 8.5% 10.1% 12.8% 14.9% 22.4% 13.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 2.9% 3.7% 7.6% 8.1% 11.2% 12.7% 18.1% 14.8% 14.4% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.3% 4.9% 7.0% 10.6% 11.0% 11.3% 15.2% 16.8% 14.4% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 4.2% 5.6% 6.6% 11.1% 11.3% 14.1% 12.2% 17.0% 13.4% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.3% 4.9% 7.0% 10.6% 11.0% 11.3% 15.2% 16.8% 14.4% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 8.4% 13.6% 63.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.