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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.54+7.62vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island-0.23+10.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.25+0.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University-0.20+7.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.62+3.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.36-0.14vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.70+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.24+2.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.55-3.28vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-1.52vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.01+0.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-4.58vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.13-1.00vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.79-6.10vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.65-2.13vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-6.08vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.53-4.13vs Predicted
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18Tufts University-0.25-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Tufts University0.544.5%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island-0.232.6%1st Place
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3.52Yale University2.2524.8%1st Place
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11.96Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University0.625.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston College1.3610.2%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College0.704.7%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont0.243.1%1st Place
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5.72Brown University1.5510.7%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.3%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University0.012.9%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.006.9%1st Place
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12.0Connecticut College-0.131.9%1st Place
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7.9Brown University0.796.0%1st Place
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12.87Bates College-0.652.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston University0.373.4%1st Place
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12.87McGill University-0.531.7%1st Place
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12.32Tufts University-0.251.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 24.8% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 17.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.0% |
| Greta Traver | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.