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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.10+7.81vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.45+0.58vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.29+5.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.79+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.25vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-0.28vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.23+1.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.72+2.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.71-4.26vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.40vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.04+3.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+2.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.48+2.46vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.13+0.16vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-3.31vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.32-0.96vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80-0.13vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-0.90-9.09vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-2.96-1.95vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.82-3.43vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.79-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.3%1st Place
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9.81University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.68California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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4.58University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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10.7San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.62University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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7.72California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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10.2San Diego State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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9.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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12.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.800.0%1st Place
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17.91University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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17.21University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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19.46University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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18.16University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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15.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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19.04University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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20.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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12.91Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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21.05University of California at Irvine-2.960.0%1st Place
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20.57Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
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20.41University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Collins | 28.5% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenny Moats | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| samson grunwald | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Sara Moore | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Calli Genest | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 20.9% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 17.8% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.