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📊 Prediction Accuracy
48.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.45+3.79vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+1.49vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.29+8.30vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.27+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.79+1.09vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+1.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+4.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+6.97vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.72+0.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.97+0.04vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.08-5.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.48+3.74vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-3.65vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.79+2.85vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.47+0.42vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-3.20vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.29vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-0.90-8.57vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-4.76vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80-3.12vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-2.96-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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3.49California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
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11.3San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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4.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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7.09University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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8.35California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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13.93University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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17.97University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.41San Diego State University0.080.0%1st Place
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19.74University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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13.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.800.0%1st Place
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20.85University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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19.42Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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19.71University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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13.43Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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18.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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20.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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21.3University of California at Irvine-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 22.1% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Fabio Schettino | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% |
| samson grunwald | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Sara Moore | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 19.0% |
| Calli Genest | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.