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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.45+3.81vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.27+2.54vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.08+5.75vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.72+7.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.79+0.21vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.29+3.28vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-4.10vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80+3.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+3.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.71-4.48vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+4.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.09-5.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.48+3.69vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-0.25vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.90-4.22vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-1.29vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.47-0.06vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80+0.17vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.32-2.92vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-2.96-1.63vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.79-3.15vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.97-11.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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3.42California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
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5.54University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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9.75San Diego State University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.35California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.21University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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11.28San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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4.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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13.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.800.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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10.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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18.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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19.69University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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16.75University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.78Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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17.71University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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19.94Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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21.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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19.08University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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21.37University of California at Irvine-2.960.0%1st Place
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20.85University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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13.89University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 24.8% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fabio Schettino | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| samson grunwald | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Sara Moore | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 22.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Calli Genest | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 22.9% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 19.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.