← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego1.45+3.47vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.09+7.24vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.74vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.05-0.78vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-0.29+5.94vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-0.72+6.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California-0.10+3.14vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.71-1.01vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.79-2.56vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80+3.14vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-1.36vs Predicted
-
12California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-3.98vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+0.94vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.23-3.36vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+2.61vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+0.31vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-2.04+1.24vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-2.32+1.26vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-0.97-5.74vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-0.90-6.46vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-2.48-0.83vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-2.47-2.52vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-2.96-1.68vs Predicted
-
24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80-3.20vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Davis-2.79-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
-
9.24University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
4.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
3.22California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.3%1st Place
-
10.94San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
12.74University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
-
6.44University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
-
13.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
-
8.02California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
-
13.94University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
-
10.64San Diego State University-0.230.0%1st Place
-
17.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
-
16.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
-
18.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
-
19.26University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
-
13.26University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
13.54Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
20.17University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
-
19.48Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
-
21.32University of California at Irvine-2.960.0%1st Place
-
20.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
-
20.72University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 15.8% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 25.2% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kenny Moats | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| samson grunwald | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 11.3% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Calli Genest | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Sara Moore | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.