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📊 Prediction Accuracy
48.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California-0.10+8.72vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.79+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.45+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.72+7.82vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.37vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80+3.86vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29+1.02vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-3.13vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.23-1.18vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.90vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.41vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.48+3.60vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.97-3.19vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.32+1.19vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-1.36vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-2.96+1.44vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-4.09vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80-1.38vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.47-3.26vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.79-3.23vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-0.90-11.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.21California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.3%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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4.61University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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12.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.02San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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10.82San Diego State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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17.9University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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13.59University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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19.6University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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19.19University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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17.64University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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21.44University of California at Irvine-2.960.0%1st Place
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16.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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20.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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19.74Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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20.77University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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13.38Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Collins | 25.6% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenny Moats | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Calli Genest | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 25.3% |
| samson grunwald | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Sara Moore | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 18.6% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 18.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.