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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.01+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-1.18+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.41+1.45vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-0.22vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.75-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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5.41University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Berkeley0.730.2%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.45University of California at San Diego-2.410.0%1st Place
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7.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
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6.61Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 21.1% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 21.0% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 20.4% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Lekha Sapers | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 5.0% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 29.0% | 35.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 7.3% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 23.5% | 48.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.