Race 9A

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Soosalu 13.7% 17.2% 18.6% 14.7% 13.6% 12.1% 5.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.9% 5.2% 6.0% 10.6% 12.1% 13.3% 14.2% 14.4% 13.6% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 3.0% 5.2% 6.0% 8.8% 8.4% 12.5% 15.6% 16.8% 17.5% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 7.3% 9.1% 10.2% 13.8% 17.0% 22.7% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 18.3% 22.7% 19.0% 16.9% 11.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.8% 5.7% 7.1% 7.7% 12.2% 12.2% 14.3% 15.9% 15.0% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.2% 4.8% 7.9% 11.6% 11.3% 14.6% 16.5% 13.3% 12.2% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 6.1% 9.2% 14.2% 11.4% 16.0% 15.2% 11.5% 10.2% 5.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 44.7% 26.5% 16.1% 8.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.8% 5.7% 7.1% 7.7% 12.2% 12.2% 14.3% 15.9% 15.0% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 4.7% 7.9% 11.9% 64.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 7.3% 9.1% 10.2% 13.8% 17.0% 22.7% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.