← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.32vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.25+1.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.26+0.21vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles-1.08+3.10vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.57vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.03+0.91vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-2.95vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.07vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-2.53+0.15vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-1.54vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
-
3.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
-
3.21University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
-
7.1University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
-
4.43University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
-
6.91University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
4.05University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
-
6.93University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.15Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
-
8.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlin Chan | 34.7% | 27.0% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 20.9% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 17.8% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| harriet jessup | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 36.5% | 19.1% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 24.8% | 26.2% | 8.5% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 16.1% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.