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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.26+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.25-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.08+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.40-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.11vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+0.47vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.53+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
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2.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.4%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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9.13Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 18.2% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 37.8% | 26.1% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 18.2% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 26.8% | 7.8% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 20.3% | 36.4% | 19.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 14.9% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.