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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.26+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.25-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.03+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-1.16vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-0.44vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.53-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
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2.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.4%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
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6.94University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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9.08Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 17.8% | 21.9% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 37.9% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 19.0% | 22.7% | 21.4% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| tess McMullin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 27.6% | 24.7% | 10.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 37.5% | 17.0% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 15.4% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.