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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.25+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.08+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.03+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.67vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.26-4.97vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.53+0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72+0.37vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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2.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.4%1st Place
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3.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.04University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
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9.16Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
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8.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| harriet jessup | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 36.4% | 26.6% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 18.3% | 21.0% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 20.7% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 38.8% | 19.0% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 15.9% | 69.2% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.