← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.32vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.01+3.24vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.15+0.22vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+1.00vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.75vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-0.75-0.41vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65+1.76vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.24vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-2.41-0.53vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-1.18-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
-
5.24University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.22University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
-
3.95University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
-
6.0University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
-
3.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
-
6.59Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.76University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
-
7.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.47University of California at San Diego-2.410.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of California at Santa Barbara-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 20.4% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 21.4% | 20.4% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 22.1% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 24.7% | 48.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 22.2% | 16.8% | 7.2% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 28.3% | 37.3% |
| Lekha Sapers | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.