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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-1.18+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.01-1.90vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-1.39vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.41-0.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.1University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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6.61Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.48University of California at San Diego-2.410.0%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 20.6% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 21.8% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 12.9% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 22.6% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lekha Sapers | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 16.5% | 5.7% |
| Svenja Leonard | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 19.5% | 23.1% | 14.9% | 7.7% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 28.0% | 37.6% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 26.2% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.