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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.25-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.26-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.21vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.53+0.13vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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2.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.4%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
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7.1University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.13Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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8.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 37.2% | 27.1% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 18.5% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 19.8% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| tess McMullin | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 22.9% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 37.6% | 18.9% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 25.7% | 27.0% | 8.4% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.