Race 10A

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 45.3% 28.0% 14.2% 7.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.8% 5.6% 7.7% 7.5% 11.9% 14.2% 16.0% 13.1% 13.5% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 17.2% 19.9% 21.1% 17.8% 11.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.6% 8.4% 11.0% 12.8% 18.5% 22.2% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 6.9% 10.2% 11.0% 12.5% 14.2% 15.2% 12.9% 9.7% 5.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 13.3% 17.0% 18.0% 18.9% 13.7% 8.4% 6.5% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.3% 5.4% 7.3% 9.3% 13.8% 14.6% 14.8% 15.2% 11.8% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 3.1% 4.9% 8.1% 8.8% 10.3% 12.4% 13.6% 15.9% 17.3% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.4% 5.1% 6.2% 10.3% 10.9% 12.6% 13.4% 16.4% 15.2% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.4% 5.1% 6.2% 10.3% 10.9% 12.6% 13.4% 16.4% 15.2% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.6% 8.4% 11.0% 12.8% 18.5% 22.2% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 5.7% 6.5% 13.5% 64.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.