← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.27vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.25+1.07vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-0.67vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.58vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-1.08+1.94vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.08vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.03-0.29vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii1.26-4.95vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-0.45vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-2.53-0.91vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.27University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
-
3.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
-
2.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
-
4.58University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
-
6.94University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
-
7.08University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.71University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
3.05University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
-
8.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
-
9.09Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| harriet jessup | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 20.6% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 33.9% | 27.4% | 20.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 1.7% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Carew | 21.0% | 22.8% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 27.8% | 24.8% | 10.3% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 36.5% | 17.1% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 15.4% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.