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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.25+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.26+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-2.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.03+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.09vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-1.95vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.53-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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2.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.4%1st Place
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6.9University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.08Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Aguirre | 18.7% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 17.3% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 21.5% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 38.9% | 27.2% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 25.8% | 26.7% | 8.1% |
| tess McMullin | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 36.5% | 17.5% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.