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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.26+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.25-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.08+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72+0.35vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.53-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.4%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.250.2%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
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9.08Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlin Chan | 35.3% | 28.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 10.2% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 17.6% | 20.7% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 19.3% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 22.4% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 0.6% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 26.1% | 11.9% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 17.1% | 67.9% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 20.8% | 35.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.