Race 11A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 45.7% 28.0% 12.9% 7.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 17.6% 21.3% 19.6% 17.0% 11.4% 7.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 13.1% 14.9% 18.6% 15.6% 16.8% 10.8% 6.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 2.7% 5.3% 7.8% 11.2% 11.7% 13.7% 16.1% 14.3% 13.2% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 6.0% 9.2% 12.9% 17.6% 23.0% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 5.1% 6.1% 7.8% 8.3% 10.9% 14.6% 14.6% 13.6% 13.7% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 5.5% 9.1% 11.8% 14.0% 13.9% 15.5% 13.6% 10.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.5% 4.9% 8.3% 9.0% 10.7% 11.0% 15.8% 16.0% 15.0% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 3.2% 5.4% 6.1% 8.3% 11.9% 12.7% 12.6% 17.5% 15.4% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.5% 4.9% 8.3% 9.0% 10.7% 11.0% 15.8% 16.0% 15.0% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 4.2% 6.8% 13.5% 64.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 6.0% 9.2% 12.9% 17.6% 23.0% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.