Race 12A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Billy Hines 18.5% 22.8% 19.5% 13.2% 12.5% 7.1% 4.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 44.5% 26.6% 16.7% 7.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.7% 5.7% 8.2% 9.6% 9.2% 12.6% 16.4% 15.8% 14.3% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.2% 5.3% 7.4% 9.5% 12.4% 16.3% 13.5% 14.7% 13.7% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 13.3% 17.1% 18.0% 19.2% 13.0% 9.4% 5.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 4.1% 5.1% 6.9% 8.4% 11.8% 11.4% 14.3% 14.4% 15.5% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.1% 4.3% 7.0% 8.0% 12.3% 14.3% 15.9% 16.6% 12.7% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.1% 4.3% 7.0% 8.0% 12.3% 14.3% 15.9% 16.6% 12.7% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.6% 3.2% 5.0% 6.7% 9.0% 9.3% 12.8% 17.4% 22.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 6.3% 9.3% 10.5% 15.4% 14.3% 14.6% 12.6% 10.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.6% 3.2% 5.0% 6.7% 9.0% 9.3% 12.8% 17.4% 22.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 4.7% 6.5% 14.1% 63.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.