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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.58vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.84+4.74vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.11+6.50vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+5.48vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74+0.88vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.95+2.86vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.38-3.17vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.72+1.79vs Predicted
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10University of Florida1.38-1.56vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+2.28vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.81-1.22vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.13-3.92vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.73vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36-0.56vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.37-3.81vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.85-6.54vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-0.36-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.74Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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9.5The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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10.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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6.88Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.86Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.83Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.79University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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13.28Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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10.78Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.08University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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10.27Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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14.44Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.19Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.46Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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14.33Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 15.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.3% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Smith | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 29.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.