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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.10vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+4.85vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+1.81vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.85+5.79vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.38+2.89vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11+2.95vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54-2.78vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.72+1.34vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.34vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.13-2.03vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-0.09vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.95-3.63vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-1.59vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.36-1.11vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36-2.01vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University0.81-6.81vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.85Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.81Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.79Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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8.95The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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4.22North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.28Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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10.34University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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10.34Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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11.91Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.37Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.41Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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13.89Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.99Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.19Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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16.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 19.1% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Scott Harris | 18.3% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 10.3% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 11.6% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Drew Davey | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 14.2% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.