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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.15vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+2.39vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.85+7.09vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.84+2.32vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.28vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11+2.96vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.38+0.87vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.95+1.45vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.72+1.36vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.81+0.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.13-2.04vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+0.94vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.06vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-7.51vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.37-3.47vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.36-2.03vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-0.13vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.39North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.09Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.32Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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4.72Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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8.96The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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9.45Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.36University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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10.25Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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12.94Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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9.94Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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6.49Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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11.53Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.97Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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16.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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13.74Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 17.3% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian Street | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 5.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 22.6% | 10.6% |
| Drew Davey | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 12.5% | 68.7% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.