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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.38+4.03vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.95+8.16vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+1.52vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+0.05vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+1.51vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11+3.35vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+5.09vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.38-0.80vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.80vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.36+3.52vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.74-4.76vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.85-2.82vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.13-5.06vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.81-4.57vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77-5.33vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36-2.39vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.16Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.52North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.51Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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9.35The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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12.09Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.65University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Florida1.380.0%1st Place
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10.8Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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14.52Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.24Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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10.18Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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8.94University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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10.43Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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14.61Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.05Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Scott Harris | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.1% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Ian Street | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 31.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| William Smith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 29.4% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.