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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.85+9.44vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.84+4.80vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+4.13vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+0.08vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54-0.61vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+6.10vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.72+3.76vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11+1.20vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-4.17vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.81+0.67vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+2.24vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36+2.71vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.95-3.21vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77-3.67vs Predicted
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15University of Florida1.38-6.78vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.13-6.71vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-0.36-2.43vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology0.78-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.44Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.8Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.13Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.39North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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12.1Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.76University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.2The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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4.83Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.67Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.24Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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14.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.79Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Florida1.380.0%1st Place
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9.29University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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14.57Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.45Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.3% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 17.2% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Ian Street | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 18.6% | 30.5% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| William Smith | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 27.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.