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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+2.03vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+3.35vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+5.48vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.11+3.27vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.81+3.52vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36+5.96vs Predicted
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8University of Florida1.38-0.69vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+3.02vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.84-4.08vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-7.03vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.95-3.08vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina0.72-3.21vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.50-3.45vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.37-4.13vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-0.07vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-0.36-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.03Jacksonville University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.35Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.48Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.27The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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9.52Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.96Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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12.02Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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5.92Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.92Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.79University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Florida0.500.0%1st Place
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10.87Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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15.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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13.1Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 19.2% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 17.5% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 8.8% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 4.9% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.3% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ian Street | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Robert Newland | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Drew Davey | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 67.8% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.